GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avangard Kursk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SKA Khabarovsk II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (41.1 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avangard Kursk

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SKA Khabarovsk IILLLWW

GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Avangard KurskDLDWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SKA Khabarovsk IIAvangard Kursk
47.4Attack42.1
38.6Defence59.6
35.1Form47.4
41.1Power51.0
1.20xG1.46
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