SK Poltavavs
UCSA
COMPLETEDUkraine · Persha Liga · 8/15/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
UCSA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
SK Poltava are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while UCSA are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and UCSA hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 93.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Persha Liga, while UCSA holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
UCSA
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
12.3%
UCSA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00