Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
SJK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00