Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
SJK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Turku PS
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00