Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
SJK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KuPS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (42.3 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
13.2%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40