Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siwelele · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Siwelele are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while TS Galaxy are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.6% in the Premier Soccer League, while Siwelele holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Siwelele
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
14.6%
Siwelele has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80