GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 7/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Sirius are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while IFK Goteborg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 41.0-point power-rating edge (80.9 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.5% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sirius

Probability

86.5%

Model confidence

86.5%

Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SiriusWWDDW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK GoteborgLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
SiriusIFK Goteborg
91.7Attack45.8
60.4Defence27.1
87.5Form39.6
80.9Power39.9
4.28xG0.89
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