Siriusvs
Hammarby FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 4/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sirius are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hammarby FF are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (80.9 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
11.3%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00