GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 7/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Politehnica UTM · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sireți are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Politehnica UTM are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Politehnica UTM hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (31.7 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Super Liga, while Politehnica UTM holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Politehnica UTM

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Politehnica UTM has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SirețiLLWWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Politehnica UTMDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SirețiPolitehnica UTM
23.8Attack42.9
42.9Defence47.6
19.0Form38.1
31.7Power43.5
1.20xG1.49
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