GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 4/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sioni · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sioni are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aragvi Dusheti are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sioni hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Sioni holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sioni

Probability

57.3%

Model confidence

11.7%

Sioni has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SioniLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SioniAragvi Dusheti
61.1Attack46.5
61.1Defence53.5
56.5Form43.9
59.0Power49.4
1.88xG0.96
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