Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esbjerg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Silkeborg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Esbjerg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Esbjerg hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (31.6 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Esbjerg holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Esbjerg
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Esbjerg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60