Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skopje · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sileks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Skopje are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Skopje hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the First League, while Skopje holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Skopje
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
14.8%
Skopje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60