GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 7/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siheung Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Siheung Citizen are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Busan Transportation are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the K3 League, while Siheung Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Siheung Citizen

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

Siheung Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Siheung CitizenDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Busan TransportationWLDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Siheung CitizenBusan Transportation
44.0Attack40.5
56.0Defence57.1
46.4Form40.5
51.2Power48.0
1.22xG0.96
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