GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tianjin Teda are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tianjin Teda hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Super League, while Tianjin Teda holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuLDLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tianjin TedaDLLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sichuan JiuniuTianjin Teda
45.5Attack47.6
37.9Defence58.7
34.8Form42.9
41.0Power50.7
1.19xG1.68
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