GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/19/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dalian Zhixing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dalian Zhixing are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dalian Zhixing hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Super League, while Dalian Zhixing holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dalian Zhixing

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

10.6%

Dalian Zhixing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Dalian ZhixingLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sichuan JiuniuDalian Zhixing
45.5Attack50.8
37.9Defence42.9
34.8Form50.8
41.0Power50.2
1.64xG1.80
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