GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (41.0 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Super League, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sichuan JiuniuLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sichuan JiuniuChongqing Tongliang Long
45.5Attack36.2
37.9Defence60.9
34.8Form43.5
41.0Power49.5
1.13xG1.27
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