GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siarka Tarnobrzeg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Czarni Połaniec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Czarni Połaniec hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Siarka TarnobrzegDLDWL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Czarni PołaniecWLLDW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Siarka TarnobrzegCzarni Połaniec
55.6Attack44.4
66.7Defence66.7
44.4Form66.7
54.9Power61.0
1.52xG1.28
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