Siarka Tarnobrzegvs
Czarni Połaniec
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siarka Tarnobrzeg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Czarni Połaniec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Czarni Połaniec hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the III Liga - Group 4, while Siarka Tarnobrzeg holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60