Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Shumbrat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Strogino are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (63.1 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
10.4%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00