Shumbratvs
Metallurg Lipetsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/16/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shumbrat are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 62.2 against 63.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00