Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shumbrat · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Shumbrat are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kvant are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 21.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shumbrat
Probability
86.3%
Model confidence
86.3%
Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60