GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shumbrat · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Shumbrat are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shumbrat hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Shumbrat holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shumbrat

Probability

83.7%

Model confidence

83.7%

Shumbrat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShumbratWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arsenal Tula IIDLLDL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ShumbratArsenal Tula II
64.9Attack29.8
56.1Defence28.1
63.2Form21.1
62.2Power29.7
3.32xG0.65
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