GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shturmi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shturmi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Merani Martvili are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and shturmi hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the Erovnuli Liga 2, favouring Shturmi with 19.6% confidence, a 29% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shturmi

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

19.6%

Shturmi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShturmiDDLLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Merani MartviliLWLDW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ShturmiMerani Martvili
31.7Attack31.5
75.0Defence22.2
50.0Form24.1
54.4Power28.7
1.70xG0.42
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