Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shortan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shortan are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gazalkent are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shortan hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Pro League A, while Shortan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shortan
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Shortan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20