GGOALVIO

Japan · J2 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shonan Bellmare · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shonan Bellmare are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Montedio Yamagata are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Montedio Yamagata hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the J2 League, while Shonan Bellmare holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shonan Bellmare

Probability

35.7%

Model confidence

14.7%

Shonan Bellmare has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shonan BellmareWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Montedio YamagataWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shonan BellmareMontedio Yamagata
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.15xG1.09
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