Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sholing are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bath City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 46.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
12.9%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60