GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sileks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shkëndija Haraçinë are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sileks are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sileks hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 76.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the First League, while Sileks holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sileks

Probability

51.8%

Model confidence

12.7%

Sileks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shkëndija HaraçinëLLWDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SileksWLWWL

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Shkëndija HaraçinëSileks
16.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form66.7
26.2Power76.5
1.02xG1.70
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