Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkendija · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Shkendija are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Skopje are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 76.3-point power-rating edge (96.3 v 19.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.2% in the First League, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shkendija
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60