Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkendija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hibernian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.5 against 63.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shkendija
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
11.6%
Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40