Shkendijavs
Bregalnica Štip
SCHEDULEDMacedonia · First League · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shkendija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bregalnica Štip are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the First League, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shkendija
Probability
74.5%
Model confidence
18.9%
Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20