GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shkendija · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Shkendija are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bregalnica Štip are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shkendija hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (65.1 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the First League, while Shkendija holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shkendija

Probability

74.5%

Model confidence

18.9%

Shkendija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ShkendijaWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bregalnica ŠtipWWWDW

GF 16 · GA 1 · avg 3.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ShkendijaBregalnica Štip
55.6Attack27.3
72.7Defence49.5
64.6Form28.3
65.1Power38.0
1.96xG0.38
View match centre →