GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/15/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Araks Ararat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Shirak II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Araks Ararat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Araks Ararat hold a 77.5-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the First League, while Araks Ararat holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Araks Ararat

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

9.5%

Araks Ararat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shirak IILLDLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Araks AraratWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shirak IIAraks Ararat
0.0Attack100.0
16.7Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
11.2Power88.7
1.39xG2.22
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