GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shinnik Yaroslavl are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leningradets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shinnik Yaroslavl hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the First League, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shinnik YaroslavlDDDDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LeningradetsLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Shinnik YaroslavlLeningradets
50.0Attack20.0
55.6Defence46.7
50.0Form26.7
53.0Power34.5
1.58xG0.79
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