GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 7/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shinnik Yaroslavl are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Sochi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the First League, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shinnik Yaroslavl

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shinnik YaroslavlDDDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC SochiLWDDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
50.0Attack66.7
55.6Defence53.3
50.0Form46.7
53.0Power53.8
1.40xG1.35
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