Shinnik YaroslavlvsArsenal Tula

Shinnik Yaroslavl are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arsenal Tula are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shinnik Yaroslavl hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the First League, while Shinnik Yaroslavl holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.