GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shimizu S-pulse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shimizu S-pulse are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Yokohama F. Marinos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shimizu S-pulse hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shimizu S-pulse

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

12.2%

Shimizu S-pulse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shimizu S-pulseWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yokohama F. MarinosLWDWD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos
33.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power32.0
1.78xG1.14
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