GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/21/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shimizu S-pulse are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vissel Kobe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vissel Kobe hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the J1 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.0%

Model confidence

34.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shimizu S-pulseDLWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vissel KobeLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shimizu S-pulseVissel Kobe
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power64.8
1.21xG1.19
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