Shimizu S-pulsevs
Kyoto Sanga
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 2/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimizu S-pulse · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shimizu S-pulse are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shimizu S-pulse hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shimizu S-pulse
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Shimizu S-pulse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80