GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shimizu S-pulse · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shimizu S-pulse are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shimizu S-pulse hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shimizu S-pulse

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Shimizu S-pulse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shimizu S-pulseLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Kyoto SangaDLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shimizu S-pulseKyoto Sanga
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
53.0Power36.5
1.53xG1.09
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