Shimizu S-pulsevs
Fagiano Okayama
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/14/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shimizu S-pulse · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Shimizu S-pulse are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shimizu S-pulse
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Shimizu S-pulse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00