Shimizu S-pulsevsCerezo Osaka

Shimizu S-pulse are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shimizu S-pulse hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the J1 League, while Shimizu S-pulse holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.