Shimizu S-pulsevsAvispa Fukuoka

Shimizu S-pulse are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avispa Fukuoka are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.2% in the J1 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.