GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 7/12/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Zimbru are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (77.7 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Super Liga, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolDDWDW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ZimbruWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sheriff TiraspolZimbru
76.2Attack61.9
76.2Defence66.7
81.0Form52.4
77.7Power59.0
1.89xG1.12
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