GGOALVIO

Moldova · Super Liga · 7/26/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheriff Tiraspol · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Milsami Orhei are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol hold a 39.0-point power-rating edge (77.7 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Super Liga, while Sheriff Tiraspol holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sheriff Tiraspol

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

Sheriff Tiraspol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Milsami OrheiWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sheriff TiraspolMilsami Orhei
76.2Attack23.8
76.2Defence52.4
81.0Form33.3
77.7Power38.7
2.50xG0.65
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