GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Tel Aviv · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Maccabi Tel Aviv are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Tel Aviv hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 69.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Maccabi Tel Aviv holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Maccabi Tel Aviv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheriff TiraspolWWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Maccabi Tel AvivLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sheriff TiraspolMaccabi Tel Aviv
8.3Attack75.0
50.0Defence66.7
33.3Form75.0
33.4Power69.7
0.98xG1.78
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