Sheriff Tiraspolvs
Aluminij
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sheriff Tiraspol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Aluminij are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aluminij hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (33.4 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
34.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00