GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shenzhen Juniors are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nantong Zhiyun are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nantong Zhiyun hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the League One, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen JuniorsLLDDW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nantong ZhiyunLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen JuniorsNantong Zhiyun
51.9Attack41.2
61.1Defence74.5
59.3Form60.8
57.8Power60.6
0.84xG0.88
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