GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/12/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shenzhen Juniors are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen Juniors hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the League One, while Shenzhen Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen Juniors

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen JuniorsDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heilongjiang Lava SpringLDLDD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shenzhen JuniorsHeilongjiang Lava Spring
51.9Attack51.9
61.1Defence35.2
59.3Form38.9
57.8Power44.6
2.25xG1.06
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