GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shenzhen 2028 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Xiamen Feilu are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen 2028LDDLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Xiamen FeiluDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 2.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Shenzhen 2028Xiamen Feilu
60.0Attack45.0
61.7Defence56.7
60.0Form43.3
60.5Power50.0
1.73xG0.91
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