GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 8/8/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shenzhen 2028 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shangyu Pterosaur are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and shenzhen 2028 hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely result in the League Two, favouring Shenzhen 2028 with 16.3% confidence, a 38% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

16.3%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen 2028LWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shangyu PterosaurDLDDD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028Shangyu Pterosaur
60.0Attack30.0
61.7Defence58.3
60.0Form43.3
60.5Power45.8
1.68xG0.60
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