GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/15/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shenzhen 2028 are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shaanxi Union are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.8 against 49.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the FA Cup, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

14.5%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen 2028WLWWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shaanxi UnionDDDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Shenzhen 2028Shaanxi Union
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
50.0Form44.4
47.8Power49.5
1.23xG1.08
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