GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen 2028 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shenzhen 2028 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Guangdong Mingtu are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen 2028 hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (60.5 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the League Two, while Shenzhen 2028 holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen 2028

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

17.7%

Shenzhen 2028 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenzhen 2028WDLDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Guangdong MingtuLLDLD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenzhen 2028Guangdong Mingtu
60.0Attack31.7
61.7Defence68.3
60.0Form38.3
60.5Power48.4
1.27xG0.64
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