GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenyang Urban · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shenyang Urban are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenyang Urban hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the Super League, while Shenyang Urban holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenyang Urban

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

11.7%

Shenyang Urban has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shenyang UrbanLWLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sichuan JiuniuLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shenyang UrbanSichuan Jiuniu
44.4Attack45.5
47.6Defence37.9
38.1Form34.8
44.0Power41.0
1.81xG1.30
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